載入市場詳情…
跳至主要內容
洛杉磯市中心的100°F連勝紀錄會持續多久？
How long will downtown LA's 100°F streak last?
24 小時成交量US$6509.6
累積成交量US$6589.6
流動性US$862
截止時間（臺北）2026年11月1日
機率走勢
同時比較 4 個選項 · 市場參考機率
此期間尚無可用的歷史行情目前機率仍可在上方選項中查看。
檢視各選項行情數據
結算規則
英文原文 · 尚未翻譯洛杉磯市中心的華氏100度高溫會持續剛好四天嗎？
This market resolves according to the length, in consecutive calendar days, of the streak of days with a daily maximum temperature of 100°F or higher at Downtown Los Angeles that began on October 2, 2026. The streak ends on the first calendar day on which the daily maximum temperature is below 100°F, and this market resolves to the total number of consecutive days in the streak. The streak had already reached four days when this market was created, so it cannot total fewer than four.
A daily maximum of exactly 100°F extends the streak. For example, if the daily maximum is 100°F on October 6 and 99°F on October 7, the streak totals five days and this market resolves to "Five". "Seven or more" resolves to "Yes" if the streak reaches seven days or longer.
The resolution source for this market will be the daily maximum temperature (the "MAX" column) for Downtown Los Angeles in the National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard Preliminary Local Climatological Data report, available at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&issuedby=CQT&product=CF6. Values are published in whole degrees Fahrenheit and are used exactly as published, with no rounding or adjustment. Readings from any other Los Angeles station, including Los Angeles International Airport (LAX), do not count. The report is preliminary; this market will not resolve until two days after the streak-ending day's value is published, and any correction issued in that window governs.
官方結算資料來源在 Polymarket 查看完整市場事件背景
This market resolves according to the length, in consecutive calendar days, of the streak of days with a daily maximum temperature of 100°F or higher at Downtown Los Angeles that began on October 2, 2026. The streak ends on the first calendar day on which the daily maximum temperature is below 100°F, and this market resolves to the total number of consecutive days in the streak. The streak had already reached four days when this market was created, so it cannot total fewer than four.
A daily maximum of exactly 100°F extends the streak. For example, if the daily maximum is 100°F on October 6 and 99°F on October 7, the streak totals five days and this market resolves to "Five". "Seven or more" resolves to "Yes" if the streak reaches seven days or longer.
The resolution source for this market will be the daily maximum temperature (the "MAX" column) for Downtown Los Angeles in the National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard Preliminary Local Climatological Data report, available at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&issuedby=CQT&product=CF6. Values are published in whole degrees Fahrenheit and are used exactly as published, with no rounding or adjustment. Readings from any other Los Angeles station, including Los Angeles International Airport (LAX), do not count. The report is preliminary; this market will not resolve until two days after the streak-ending day's value is published, and any correction issued in that window governs.