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2026年諾貝爾和平獎頒發給個人？
Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?
24 小時成交量US$3066.8
累積成交量US$5314.3
流動性US$1.7萬
截止時間（臺北）2027年1月1日
機率走勢
同時比較 2 個選項 · 市場參考機率
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英文原文 · 尚未翻譯The Nobel Peace Prize is awarded annually by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is scheduled to be announced on October 9, 2026, at 11:00 AM CEST (5:00 AM ET).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one named individual is a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A named individual is a person identified by name as a laureate in the Norwegian Nobel Committee's announcement. An organization, institution, movement, agency, coalition, or other entity is not a named individual.
The prize may be divided among up to three laureates. If it is divided between at least one named individual and one or more entities, this market will resolve to "Yes". A person named as a laureate alongside an organization they lead counts as a named individual, as Kofi Annan did when the 2001 prize was divided between the United Nations and its Secretary-General. A person who is not named as a laureate, and who only accepts or represents the prize on an organization's behalf, does not count.
A laureate who declines the prize still counts, as Le Duc Tho did in 1973. A laureate honored posthumously still counts, as Dag Hammarskjold did in 1961.
If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is withheld, is not awarded, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, published at https://www.nobelprize.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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The Nobel Peace Prize is awarded annually by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is scheduled to be announced on October 9, 2026, at 11:00 AM CEST (5:00 AM ET).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one named individual is a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A named individual is a person identified by name as a laureate in the Norwegian Nobel Committee's announcement. An organization, institution, movement, agency, coalition, or other entity is not a named individual.
The prize may be divided among up to three laureates. If it is divided between at least one named individual and one or more entities, this market will resolve to "Yes". A person named as a laureate alongside an organization they lead counts as a named individual, as Kofi Annan did when the 2001 prize was divided between the United Nations and its Secretary-General. A person who is not named as a laureate, and who only accepts or represents the prize on an organization's behalf, does not count.
A laureate who declines the prize still counts, as Le Duc Tho did in 1973. A laureate honored posthumously still counts, as Dag Hammarskjold did in 1961.
If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is withheld, is not awarded, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, published at https://www.nobelprize.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.