Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
24 小時成交量US$1886.3
累積成交量US$10.6萬
流動性US$8.4萬
截止時間(臺北)2027年7月1日
機率走勢
同時比較 4 個選項 · 市場參考機率
此期間尚無可用的歷史行情目前機率仍可在上方選項中查看。
檢視各選項行情數據
所有進行中的選項
每 5 秒更新
市場 / 選項機率累積成交
結算規則
英文原文 · 尚未翻譯
Moonshot AI會在2027年6月30日前被加入中國軍事公司名單嗎?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI is added to the list entitled "Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021" by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Moonshot AI refers to Beijing Moonshot AI Technology Co., Ltd. (also romanized as Beijing Yuezhi Anmian Technology Co., Ltd.), the Beijing-based developer of the Kimi models. Any English translation or romanized rendering of that name, and any list entry that identifies the company by its Moonshot or Kimi brand, will count as naming Moonshot AI.
A qualifying addition occurs when Moonshot AI, which was unnamed in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/), appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying addition must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of addition.
Addition of a subsidiary of Moonshot AI, or of a parent company of Moonshot AI, will qualify. A subsidiary means an entity in which Moonshot AI directly or indirectly holds more than 50% of the equity or voting interests. A parent company means an entity that directly or indirectly holds more than 50% of the equity or voting interests of Moonshot AI; minority investors in Moonshot AI are not parent companies. The continued presence on any later list of an entity that was already named on the June 8, 2026 list, including Alibaba Group Holding Limited and Tencent Holdings Limited, will not constitute a qualifying addition.
An addition will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
A company's status will be determined entirely by its presence on the aforementioned list. If Moonshot AI is added but its status is unenforced, the addition will still qualify.
If Moonshot AI has not been added to the list, as defined above, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is added to the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying addition occurs when the specified company that was unnamed in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying addition must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of addition.
Addition of a subsidiary or parent company of the specified company will qualify.
An addition will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the company is added but its status is unenforced, the addition will still qualify.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).