進行中shah Reza Pahlavi 伊朗政權

禮薩·巴列維會在…前進入伊朗嗎？

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

24 小時成交量US$2862.4

累積成交量US$254.9萬

流動性US$8.5萬

截止時間（臺北）2027年1月1日

機率走勢

同時比較 2 個選項 · 市場參考機率

此期間尚無可用的歷史行情目前機率仍可在上方選項中查看。

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結算規則

英文原文 · 尚未翻譯

If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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事件背景

If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.