進行中政治地緣政治特朗普總統任期

美國會入侵委內瑞拉嗎？

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

24 小時成交量US$310

累積成交量US$24.2萬

流動性US$8.4萬

截止時間（臺北）2027年1月1日

機率走勢

同時比較 2 個選項 · 市場參考機率

此期間尚無可用的歷史行情目前機率仍可在上方選項中查看。

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結算規則

英文原文 · 尚未翻譯

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

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事件背景

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.