進行中以色列世界中東

以色列會在…前在加沙發動重大地面攻勢嗎？

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

24 小時成交量US$329

累積成交量US$12.4萬

流動性US$1.6萬

截止時間（臺北）2027年1月1日

機率走勢

同時比較 2 個選項 · 市場參考機率

此期間尚無可用的歷史行情目前機率仍可在上方選項中查看。

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英文原文 · 尚未翻譯

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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事件背景

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza between May 5, 9:00 PM ET, and May 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.